Research

Publications

Agnihotri, Anustubh, Aditya Dasgupta and Devesh Kapur. (2025). Bureaucrat Assignments as Instruments of Political Control: Evidence from Land Administration Officials in India. Conditionally accepted, American Journal of Political Science.

Madon, T., Agnihotri, A., Gadgil, A.J. (2023). A Practical Framework for Research. In: Madon, T., Gadgil, A.J., Anderson, R., Casaburi, L., Lee, K., Rezaee, A. (eds) Introduction to Development Engineering. Springer, Cham. Link

Agnihotri, A., Madon, T., Gadgil, A.J. (2023). Introduction to Development Engineering. In: Madon, T., Gadgil, A.J., Anderson, R., Casaburi, L., Lee, K., Rezaee, A. (eds) Introduction to Development Engineering. Springer, Cham. Link

Agnihotri Anustubh (2022) , “Transfer Preferences of Bureaucrats and Spatial Disparities in Local State Presence” [World DevelopmentPDF Abstract

Most states lack the ability to maintain a uniform presence at the local level. While in some places, citizens experience an attentive and present state that is quick to address their demands, in other parts, the same state can be unresponsive and absent. The unevenness in state presence shapes its capacity to deliver services and its legitimacy in the eyes of the citizens. What explains the spatial unevenness of the local state? This paper argues that the transfer preferences of mid-level bureaucrats are an important determinant of local state presence. Using a mixed-methods approach that combines insights from qualitative fieldwork and a unique dataset on the transfer history of mid-level bureaucrats in Indian land bureaucracy, I show that bureaucrats have strong transfer preferences and regularly lobby to avoid being placed in jurisdictions further away from their homes or being relocated over long distances. Jurisdictions less preferred by bureaucrats are more likely to experience state absence at the local level. Further, spatial disparities in local state absence are concentrated according to historical patterns of development across different regions of the state; historically less developed regions with lower bureaucratic representation within the state experience a more prolonged duration of bureaucratic absence on account of bureaucratic lobbying against transfer directives. This paper highlights the importance of transfer preferences of individual bureaucrats and their collective representation in shaping the quality of local governance.

Agnihotri, A. (2022). Digital intermediaries, market competition, and citizen-state interactions. Governance, 1–30. Link PDF

Agnihotri, Anustubh, and Rahul Verma. “Content Analysis of Digital Text and Its Applications.” Studies in Indian Politics 7.1 (2019): 83-89. Link  PDF

Post Alison, Agnihotri Anustubh, and Hyun Chris, “Using Crowd-Sourced Data to Study Public Services: Lessons from Urban India.”, Studies in Comparative International Development 53.3 (2018): 324-342.  PDF Link Abstract

 

As cities throughout the developing world grow, they often expand more quickly than the infrastructure and service delivery networks that provide residents with basic necessities such as water and public safety. Why do some cities deliver more effective infrastructure and services in the face of rapid growth than others? Why do some households and communities secure better services than others? Answering these questions requires studying the large, politicized bureaucracies charged with providing urban services, especially the relationships between frontline workers, agency managers, and citizens in informal settlements. Researchers investigating public service delivery in cities of the Global South, however, have faced acute data scarcity when addressing these themes. The recent emergence of crowd-sourced data offers researchers new means of addressing such questions. In this paper, we draw on our own research on the politics of urban water delivery in India to highlight new types of analysis that are possible using crowd-sourced data and propose solutions to common pitfalls associated with analyzing it. These insights should be of use for researchers working on a broad range of topics in comparative politics where crowd-sourced data could provide leverage, such as protest politics, conflict processes, public opinion, and law and order. 

Agnihotri, Anustubh, and Rahul Verma. “Design-based approach in social science research.” Studies in Indian Politics 4.2 (2016): 241-248.Link  PDF

Work in Progress

Agnihotri Anustubh and Chowdhury Anirvan, “Parties vs Democracy: The Unexpected Consequences of Quotas on Local Democracy” Working Paper. Presented at Mid West Political Science Association Conference, Chicago 2025. (Working Paper Available Upon Request)  

Anustubh Agnihotri, “Shallow Decentralization: Citizen-State Interactions in Urban India”, (Working Paper Available Upon Request). Abstract

  Is the urban welfare state in India less responsive towards citizens? Cities are the centers of administration and are assumed to offer their residents easier access to state institutions and greater responsiveness from the bureaucracy. We use the attempts by more than 10 million citizens to integrate their Aadhaar biometric ID with the Public Distribution System (PDS), one of the largest food subsidy programs in the world, to examine differences in the quality of citizen-state linkages.  We find that citizens in urban areas are more likely to fail in their efforts to integrate Aadhaar with PDS. These failures have been established to have a negative welfare impact on households dependent on subsidized food grains. We show that failure in Aadhaar integration is discontinuous at the boundary between the urban and rural administrative units and persists even after matching urban units with comparable units in rural areas. Based on qualitative interviews, we argue that these failures point towards the underdeveloped welfare state in urban India and more precarious citizenship in urban spaces. The paper contributes to our understanding of the spatial disparities in citizen-state interactions, the nature of urbanization at the local level in India, and the challenges of integrating the existing welfare system within a new technology infrastructure.

Environmental Politics 

Agnihotri, Anustubh, Pranav, Gupta, “Learning to regulate: Expert Committees and Environmental Regulation in India”, Working Paper. Presented at the Midwest Political Science Association Conference, Chicago, 2024, and the American Political Science Association Conference, Vancuver, 2025. Abstract

The time taken to get regulatory approval is a crucial factor for firms that incur significant financial costs when their projects are held up due to a lack of regulatory approvals. Why does the regulator delay granting environmental clearances in some cases but not others? In this paper, we use the universe of projects seeking environmental clearances from state expert committees in India between 2017 and 2023 to show that institutional learning plays a central role in delays in environmental clearances. We show that expert committees appointed to grant environmental clearances based on a technical assessment of projects take longer to grant clearances in the first year of their appointment. The time to get approval reduces substantially in the second and third years of the committee’s three-year tenure. We identify organizational and political determinants of regulatory learning – smaller and less heterogeneous committees learn faster, and the presence of coalition governments hampers learning. The paper demonstrates the centrality of organizational factors in shaping environmental regulation in developing countries and establishes how the political environment influences institutional processes.

Agnihotri, Anustubh, Pranav, Gupta, “Electoral Cycle in Environmental Regulation of Mining Projects”, Working Paper. Presented at the American Political Science Association Conference, Philadelphia, 2024. Abstract

Does politics shape the regulation of the environment in developing democracies? While extensive research exists on the political business cycle, political interference in regulatory processes in developing countries has received limited attention. We examine the role of politics in environmental regulation using the universe of mining projects seeking environmental clearance from regulatory bodies across 14 major states in India between 2017 and 2023. We find that environmental clearances follow a strong electoral cycle; the probability of a project being approved peaks in the middle of a government’s tenure and is lowest right after and closer to elections. We find no evidence of firm sorting with the quantum and type of projects submitted for approval, not driven by proximity to the state elections. Further, we find that the electoral cycle is driven by areas with greater dependence on agriculture and limited industrial activity. We interpret this as evidence of greater electoral salience of mining projects, motivating incumbents to seek regulatory approval for maximizing electoral gains. The paper demonstrates that the electoral imperatives of political parties in developing democracies shape not just business and public service delivery but also regulatory processes.

 

Non-Academic Writing 

How WhatsApp is tackling Indian bureaucracy’s biggest challenge – last-mile accountability

If 2019 is India’s first WhatsApp election, women should be given smartphones

Bureaucracy, local governance, and decentralization of power in Seminar Magazine

Gender Representation in Indian Bureaucracy

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